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Red75
52059.1
567621.9
705631.1
Blue71
362024.9
71959.3
923720.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74572040801001207571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
31.931.9
Auto13.3
Teleop15.3
End2.4
red by 6.2
3620
#10
24.90.4
24.324.7
Auto12.0
Teleop11.1
End1.8
Second
21.90.0
22.822.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 1.3
20.60.4
20.020.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Third
5205
#22
9.10.0
10.010.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End0.2
blue by 0.2
7195
#30
9.30.4
8.99.3
Auto2.8
Teleop5.7
End0.8