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Red38
769212.1
817913.7
957212.7
Blue56
3331.8
842715.7
6615.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4064020801001203856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8179
#20
13.70.1
10.410.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End1.2
blue by 18.1
33
#5
31.80.1
29.229.3
Auto10.9
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Second
9572
#37
12.70.1
14.814.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 3.0
66
#17
15.70.1
12.913.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End4.7
Third
7692
#25
12.10.1
13.913.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 3.6
15.70.1
12.812.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed