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Red42
47379.8
283216.9
48548.9
Blue90
877411.8
514427.3
125031.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256704060801001204290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#18
16.90.6
13.714.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
blue by 14.1
31.01.6
24.826.4
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.7
Second
4737
#29
9.80.6
7.37.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End1.9
blue by 17.4
27.31.6
21.022.6
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Third
4854
#26
8.91.1
6.57.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 2.9
8774
#21
11.81.6
9.911.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned