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Red49
72216.2
817913.7
5122.0
Blue24
71917.1
811513.0
91486.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300204060801001204924

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#14
22.00.6
20.120.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 8.9
8115
#31
13.01.1
11.09.9
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End1.9
Second
8179
#20
13.70.6
10.310.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End1.2
red by 6.5
7191
#30
7.10.7
8.07.4
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Third
7221
#36
6.20.6
9.29.9
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End1.5
blue by 0.1
9148
#40
6.31.1
9.88.7
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed