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Red72
3331.8
769212.1
54819.5
Blue77
717435.7
125031.0
47379.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657620401001201407277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
31.80.5
29.329.7
Auto10.9
Teleop19.1
End1.9
blue by 3.9
35.70.3
33.233.5
Auto12.3
Teleop19.7
End3.7
Second
548
#11
19.50.5
17.017.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
blue by 11.5
31.00.3
26.426.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.7
Third
7692
#25
12.10.8
13.814.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 2.3
4737
#29
9.80.3
7.98.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned