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Red38
505310.9
37739.0
283216.9
Blue59
584324.9
86237.1
509024.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355902040801003859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#18
16.90.3
14.314.6
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
blue by 7.9
5843
#10
24.90.6
19.219.7
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
5053
#32
10.90.3
12.012.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End2.1
blue by 13.3
5090
#12
24.30.6
22.122.7
Auto14.5
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Third
3773
#38
9.00.3
7.88.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.1
red by 1.9
8623
#33
7.10.6
8.99.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed