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Red35
20487.7
6615.7
877411.8
Blue83
755318.0
615216.0
590737.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268402040601001203583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
#17
15.70.3
13.013.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End4.7
blue by 21.6
37.30.6
34.635.2
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
Second
8774
#21
11.80.3
11.511.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.3
blue by 6.2
7553
#28
18.00.6
20.020.6
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
2048
#35
7.70.3
6.26.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End0.9
blue by 8.3
6152
#34
16.01.0
14.215.2
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned