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Red45
364129.9
842715.7
24010.6
Blue28
842611.3
957212.7
506615.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57513040607080904528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.4
29.328.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
red by 14.3
5066
#27
15.61.2
16.014.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Second
15.70.4
12.912.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 2.9
9572
#37
12.71.2
14.713.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Third
240
#24
10.60.4
8.68.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.2
blue by 0.7
8426
#39
11.31.2
15.914.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed