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Red50
54819.5
91486.3
28017.4
Blue76
691414.5
519710.1
5122.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424902060801001205076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#11
19.50.7
17.518.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
blue by 2.4
51
#14
22.01.8
20.722.5
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
Second
280
#16
17.40.7
12.813.5
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End1.5
red by 2.9
14.51.8
13.715.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Third
9148
#40
6.31.2
8.79.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 3.8
5197
#23
10.11.8
9.211.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed