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Red60
811513.0
60579.8
341423.5
Blue47
48548.9
24010.6
3331.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4455020801001206047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#15
23.50.6
21.622.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End1.7
blue by 8.3
33
#5
31.80.8
29.729.0
Auto10.9
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Second
8115
#31
13.01.0
13.114.0
Auto7.0
Teleop4.2
End1.9
red by 2.5
240
#24
10.60.8
8.47.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Third
6057
#22
9.80.6
6.67.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.6
red by 1.0
4854
#26
8.91.3
10.49.1
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned