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Red54
360432.6
37739.0
72216.2
Blue28
91486.3
283216.9
957212.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503902060801005428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.7
26.126.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End2.7
red by 15.7
2832
#18
16.90.6
14.313.7
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Second
3773
#38
9.00.7
8.38.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.1
blue by 3.7
9572
#37
12.70.6
12.712.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Third
7221
#36
6.20.7
9.710.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End1.5
blue by 0.1
9148
#40
6.31.0
9.98.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed