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Red80
842715.7
590737.3
686119.0
Blue61
91486.3
817913.7
364129.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674502060801001208061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.1
32.533.6
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
red by 7.4
29.91.2
24.225.3
Auto8.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
Second
6861
#13
19.01.1
15.116.2
Auto7.4
Teleop9.1
End2.6
red by 5.3
8179
#20
13.71.2
10.011.2
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End1.2
Third
15.71.3
10.511.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
red by 9.4
9148
#40
6.32.0
9.211.1
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed