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Red59
60579.8
24010.6
717435.7
Blue47
6615.7
514427.3
505310.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485230354045556065705947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.71.0
29.630.6
Auto12.3
Teleop19.7
End3.7
red by 8.5
27.30.0
21.421.4
Auto7.9
Teleop17.6
End1.8
Second
240
#24
10.61.0
8.59.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.2
blue by 5.1
66
#17
15.70.0
12.912.9
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End4.7
Third
6057
#22
9.81.0
6.27.2
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.6
blue by 1.1
5053
#32
10.90.0
12.412.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed