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Red31
686119.0
20487.7
957212.7
Blue53
24010.6
691414.5
283216.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38420102030506070803153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6861
#13
19.00.2
16.516.2
Auto7.4
Teleop9.1
End2.6
red by 2.0
2832
#18
16.90.9
13.714.6
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Second
9572
#37
12.70.2
12.111.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 1.8
14.50.9
16.217.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.2
Third
2048
#35
7.70.2
6.15.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.2
End0.9
blue by 2.9
240
#24
10.60.9
7.68.5
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed