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Red48
47379.8
506615.6
509024.3
Blue21
91486.3
72216.2
60579.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562502040801004821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#12
24.30.1
22.122.1
Auto14.5
Teleop8.1
End1.7
red by 14.4
6057
#22
9.80.7
7.26.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Second
5066
#27
15.60.1
14.714.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.9
red by 9.3
9148
#40
6.31.2
8.97.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Third
4737
#29
9.80.1
10.010.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End1.9
red by 3.6
7221
#36
6.20.7
10.39.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed