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Red56
769212.1
5122.0
341423.5
Blue62
509024.3
283216.9
60579.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6850204060801001205662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#15
23.50.2
22.922.7
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End1.7
blue by 0.8
5090
#12
24.30.9
23.424.3
Auto14.5
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
51
#14
22.00.2
23.122.9
Auto7.7
Teleop11.4
End2.8
red by 5.0
2832
#18
16.90.9
16.217.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End2.1
Third
7692
#25
12.10.3
13.513.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End1.6
red by 2.3
6057
#22
9.80.9
7.58.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed