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Red53
125031.0
24010.6
28017.4
Blue84
590737.3
364129.9
54819.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53102204060801201401605384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.2
29.829.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.0
End2.7
blue by 6.3
37.30.3
35.935.7
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
Second
280
#16
17.40.2
14.614.4
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End1.5
blue by 12.5
29.90.3
30.229.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.4
End2.9
Third
240
#24
10.60.2
9.39.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.0
End2.2
blue by 8.9
548
#11
19.50.3
20.019.8
Auto8.6
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned