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Red84
3331.8
28017.4
71917.1
Blue31
506615.6
615216.0
769212.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801008431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#5
31.82.2
29.932.1
Auto10.9
Teleop19.1
End1.9
red by 15.8
6152
#34
16.00.8
14.613.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End2.4
Second
280
#16
17.42.2
14.616.8
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End1.5
red by 1.7
5066
#27
15.60.7
13.913.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Third
7191
#30
7.12.2
6.58.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 5.0
7692
#25
12.10.8
12.411.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed