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Red78
341423.5
590737.3
877411.8
Blue47
37739.0
686119.0
47379.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions863302040601001201407847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.2
36.035.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.3
End3.6
red by 18.3
6861
#13
19.00.7
16.817.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Second
3414
#15
23.50.2
22.822.6
Auto8.5
Teleop13.3
End1.7
red by 13.7
4737
#29
9.80.7
10.210.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.7
End1.9
Third
8774
#21
11.80.2
12.612.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End1.3
red by 2.8
3773
#38
9.00.7
9.29.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed