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Red10
611310.4
65587.8
57068.8
Blue48
14114.2
97558.7
607719.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223801030506070801048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6113
#15
10.40.9
9.78.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End1.4
blue by 9.0
19.41.0
17.918.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Second
5706
#30
8.80.9
8.17.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 5.4
141
#22
14.21.0
8.79.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End2.0
Third
6558
#31
7.80.9
3.92.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 1.0
9755
#32
8.71.0
6.27.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed