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Red40
608812.6
437518.3
92057.8
Blue56
531413.5
656924.7
63459.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424502060801004056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#23
18.30.1
16.917.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 6.4
24.71.1
20.821.9
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
6088
#28
12.60.1
11.111.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
blue by 0.9
5314
#14
13.51.1
10.111.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
Third
9205
#40
7.80.2
10.210.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 2.1
6345
#34
9.91.1
9.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed