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Red25
548613.3
557720.0
91888.1
Blue27
663714.9
439215.9
725011.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2846102040506070802527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.2
15.815.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 4.1
4392
#17
15.91.4
16.014.6
Auto9.2
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Second
5486
#25
13.30.2
6.96.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End0.4
blue by 1.6
6637
#33
14.90.8
12.811.9
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
9188
#42
8.10.2
5.14.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 3.6
7250
#19
11.61.4
10.79.3
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed