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Red68
159621.4
77135.2
439137.3
Blue41
521312.0
550118.5
954811.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69340204060801001206841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.5
34.535.0
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
red by 18.8
5501
#16
18.50.2
15.315.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Second
21.40.5
18.218.8
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
red by 9.4
5213
#29
12.00.2
9.69.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.3
End2.0
Third
7713
#38
5.20.5
5.25.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.3
blue by 6.6
9548
#24
11.90.2
9.69.4
Auto6.3
Teleop3.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed