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Red40
587811.0
967413.9
972210.2
Blue23
607913.4
439814.8
57025.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829102040504023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9674
#35
13.90.8
12.112.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 0.9
4398
#26
14.81.7
10.89.1
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Second
5878
#18
11.00.8
5.96.7
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
blue by 2.4
6079
#12
13.41.0
6.35.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Third
9722
#13
10.20.8
10.311.1
Auto6.0
Teleop3.1
End1.1
red by 5.2
5702
#39
5.01.0
6.05.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned