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Red80
972210.2
496725.9
258627.2
Blue51
720215.1
967413.9
778218.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613402040801001208051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.9
21.021.9
Auto12.0
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 9.1
7782
#11
18.10.1
13.313.5
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Second
25.90.9
19.920.8
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End2.1
red by 10.8
7202
#27
15.10.1
7.67.8
Auto7.5
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Third
9722
#13
10.20.9
11.112.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.1
End1.1
blue by 3.8
9674
#35
13.90.1
12.913.0
Auto7.1
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed