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Red49
437518.3
663714.9
521312.0
Blue40
159621.4
608812.6
725011.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42443035404550554940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#23
18.30.0
17.017.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 3.1
21.40.0
18.818.8
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
6637
#33
14.90.0
11.912.0
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 2.4
6088
#28
12.60.0
11.211.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Third
5213
#29
12.00.0
9.49.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.3
End2.0
red by 0.4
7250
#19
11.60.1
9.39.4
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed