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Red11
531413.5
77135.2
439215.9
Blue75
65587.8
439137.3
14114.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325602040801001175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#17
15.92.3
14.612.3
Auto9.2
Teleop6.0
End0.7
blue by 21.4
37.30.5
35.035.5
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
Second
5314
#14
13.51.4
11.29.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 0.7
141
#22
14.20.5
9.710.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End2.0
Third
7713
#38
5.21.4
5.74.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.3
blue by 2.5
6558
#31
7.80.5
2.93.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed