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Red50
550118.5
557720.0
715421.2
Blue38
611310.4
587811.0
548613.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5820040801005038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#10
21.20.1
17.617.8
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
red by 7.8
5486
#25
13.30.7
6.87.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.7
End0.4
Second
20.00.1
15.615.7
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 9.0
5878
#18
11.00.7
7.58.1
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
5501
#16
18.50.1
15.115.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End1.4
red by 8.1
6113
#15
10.40.7
8.89.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed