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Red5
57025.0
97558.7
92057.8
Blue58
607913.4
954811.9
609813.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262901020405060558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9755
#32
8.71.2
7.25.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
blue by 4.7
6079
#12
13.41.4
5.87.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Second
9205
#40
7.82.1
10.48.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 5.1
6098
#21
13.02.3
10.512.7
Auto7.0
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Third
5702
#39
5.01.2
6.14.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 6.9
9548
#24
11.91.4
9.410.7
Auto6.3
Teleop3.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed