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Red83
85728.2
63459.9
496725.9
Blue71
91888.1
656924.7
607719.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6548204060801008371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#3
28.20.8
25.626.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.0
End3.1
red by 3.6
24.70.7
21.922.5
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
25.90.8
20.821.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End2.1
red by 6.5
19.40.7
18.919.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
6345
#34
9.90.8
10.211.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End2.2
red by 1.8
9188
#42
8.10.7
4.95.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed