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Red28
439814.8
360220.6
77944.8
Blue61
554715.3
720215.1
258627.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33500204060802861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.3
15.515.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
blue by 6.7
27.21.2
21.923.1
Auto12.0
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Second
4398
#26
14.80.4
10.410.0
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 0.5
5547
#20
15.31.2
13.214.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Third
7794
#37
4.80.3
6.05.7
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.0
blue by 10.3
7202
#27
15.11.2
7.89.0
Auto7.5
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed