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Red70
557720.0
439137.3
725011.6
Blue59
587811.0
159621.4
14114.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions723602060801007059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.6
35.536.1
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
red by 15.9
21.41.5
18.820.3
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
20.00.6
15.716.3
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 5.8
141
#22
14.21.5
10.211.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End2.0
Third
7250
#19
11.61.0
9.410.4
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End1.1
red by 0.7
5878
#18
11.01.5
8.19.6
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed