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Red35
611310.4
531413.5
715421.2
Blue15
607913.4
77135.2
65587.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45120203040506070803515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#10
21.20.1
17.817.6
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
red by 7.7
6079
#12
13.40.0
7.27.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Second
5314
#14
13.50.1
9.89.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
red by 5.7
6558
#31
7.80.0
3.43.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Third
6113
#15
10.40.1
9.59.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.2
End1.4
red by 5.2
7713
#38
5.20.0
4.44.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed