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Red24
92496.5
57068.8
550118.5
Blue44
967413.9
608812.6
954811.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3539203050602444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5501
#16
18.50.6
15.214.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End1.4
red by 4.5
9674
#35
13.90.6
13.113.7
Auto7.1
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Second
5706
#30
8.80.6
8.07.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 3.7
6088
#28
12.60.6
11.311.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Third
9249
#36
6.50.6
9.28.7
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End0.9
blue by 5.4
9548
#24
11.90.6
10.711.3
Auto6.3
Teleop3.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed