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Red54
437518.3
258627.2
609813.0
Blue54
360220.6
49887.7
91888.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6424040801005454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.2
Auto12.0
Teleop13.3
End1.9
red by 6.7
20.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Second
4375
#23
18.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
red by 10.2
9188
#42
8.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
6098
#21
13.0
Auto7.0
Teleop4.5
End1.5
red by 5.3
4988
#41
7.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned