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Red31
725011.6
967413.9
92057.8
Blue39
715421.2
57068.8
439215.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36440102030506070803139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9674
#35
13.90.2
13.713.5
Auto7.1
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 7.2
7154
#10
21.20.3
17.617.4
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Second
7250
#19
11.60.3
10.410.1
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End1.1
blue by 4.3
4392
#17
15.90.4
13.813.4
Auto9.2
Teleop6.0
End0.7
Third
9205
#40
7.80.3
9.89.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
blue by 1.0
5706
#30
8.80.3
7.47.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed