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Red75
159621.4
360220.6
550118.5
Blue39
258627.2
65587.8
92496.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5836020801007539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.41.3
20.321.6
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
blue by 5.8
27.20.3
23.123.3
Auto12.0
Teleop13.3
End1.9
Second
20.61.3
15.216.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
red by 12.8
6558
#31
7.80.3
3.43.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Third
5501
#16
18.51.3
14.616.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End1.4
red by 12.0
9249
#36
6.50.3
8.78.9
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed