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Red47
607719.4
439215.9
607913.4
Blue39
92057.8
439814.8
557720.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4541102030506070804739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.5
19.820.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 0.6
20.00.2
16.816.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.4
Second
4392
#17
15.90.8
13.414.1
Auto9.2
Teleop6.0
End0.7
red by 1.1
4398
#26
14.80.4
11.210.8
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Third
6079
#12
13.40.5
6.97.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.0
red by 5.6
9205
#40
7.80.4
9.59.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed