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Red27
91888.1
608812.6
609813.0
Blue61
97558.7
159621.4
521312.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324302060801002761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6098
#21
13.00.4
11.911.6
Auto7.0
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 8.4
21.41.4
21.623.0
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
6088
#28
12.60.2
11.611.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
red by 0.5
5213
#29
12.01.4
10.011.4
Auto1.8
Teleop8.3
End2.0
Third
9188
#42
8.10.2
6.86.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 0.7
9755
#32
8.71.4
6.37.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed