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Red31
63459.9
49887.7
557720.0
Blue51
608812.6
97558.7
85728.2
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3346102040506070803151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.0
15.815.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.4
blue by 8.2
857
#3
28.20.7
24.425.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.0
End3.1
Second
6345
#34
9.90.0
9.29.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End2.2
blue by 2.6
6088
#28
12.60.7
10.411.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Third
4988
#41
7.70.0
6.66.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.1
blue by 1.0
9755
#32
8.70.7
5.46.2
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed