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Red43
57068.8
360220.6
656924.7
Blue40
715421.2
607719.4
437518.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4565020801001201404340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.0
20.820.8
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 3.5
7154
#10
21.21.1
19.418.3
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
Second
20.60.0
14.414.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
red by 1.2
19.41.1
19.017.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
5706
#30
8.80.0
8.18.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
blue by 9.5
4375
#23
18.31.1
18.016.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed