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Red76
496725.9
663714.9
778218.1
Blue18
77135.2
57068.8
587811.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6217040801007618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.6
22.823.4
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End2.1
red by 14.9
5878
#18
11.00.2
9.18.9
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Second
7782
#11
18.10.6
14.214.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
red by 9.3
5706
#30
8.80.2
7.27.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Third
6637
#33
14.90.6
13.213.8
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 9.7
7713
#38
5.20.2
4.13.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed