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Red48
954811.9
65587.8
531413.5
Blue44
77944.8
437518.3
49887.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30330501001502004844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#14
13.51.4
11.012.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
blue by 4.8
4375
#23
18.31.0
16.617.5
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Second
9548
#24
11.91.4
12.614.0
Auto6.3
Teleop3.3
End2.2
red by 4.2
4988
#41
7.71.0
6.87.7
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Third
6558
#31
7.81.4
3.75.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
red by 3.0
7794
#37
4.81.0
6.47.3
Auto0.8
Teleop3.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed