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Red56
557720.0
360220.6
97558.7
Blue62
91888.1
439814.8
159621.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4545303540505560655662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.61.0
16.617.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
blue by 0.8
21.40.6
23.023.6
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Second
20.01.0
16.617.6
Auto7.0
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 5.2
4398
#26
14.81.1
10.811.9
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Third
9755
#32
8.71.0
7.78.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
red by 0.7
9188
#42
8.10.6
6.67.3
Auto3.3
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed