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Red60
609813.0
439137.3
63459.9
Blue34
92057.8
550118.5
972210.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69392060801006034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.1
37.237.3
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
red by 18.8
5501
#16
18.50.6
17.316.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End1.4
Second
6098
#21
13.00.1
11.611.7
Auto7.0
Teleop4.5
End1.5
red by 2.8
9722
#13
10.20.6
12.211.5
Auto6.0
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Third
6345
#34
9.90.1
10.110.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End2.2
red by 2.1
9205
#40
7.81.1
9.18.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed