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Red18
725011.6
437518.3
92496.5
Blue55
77135.2
92057.8
496725.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424110203050607080901855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4375
#23
18.32.0
17.315.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
blue by 7.6
25.90.5
24.825.3
Auto7.5
Teleop16.3
End2.1
Second
7250
#19
11.63.1
11.38.2
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End1.1
red by 3.8
9205
#40
7.80.8
8.08.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.0
End0.7
Third
9249
#36
6.52.0
9.57.5
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End0.9
red by 1.2
7713
#38
5.20.5
4.34.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed