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Red58
656924.7
14114.2
607913.4
Blue53
360220.6
587811.0
65587.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55310204060801005853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
24.324.3
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 4.1
20.60.8
17.618.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Second
141
#22
14.20.1
13.413.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End2.0
red by 3.2
5878
#18
11.00.8
8.69.4
Auto6.5
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
6079
#12
13.40.1
9.49.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.0
red by 5.6
6558
#31
7.80.8
4.95.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned