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Red70
656924.7
92496.5
439137.3
Blue37
439814.8
725011.6
49887.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8524040601001207037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.0
36.936.9
Auto15.8
Teleop20.8
End0.7
red by 22.5
4398
#26
14.80.7
13.414.1
Auto7.6
Teleop5.2
End2.1
Second
24.70.0
25.025.0
Auto10.7
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 13.0
7250
#19
11.60.7
9.29.9
Auto6.0
Teleop4.6
End1.1
Third
9249
#36
6.50.0
7.57.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End0.9
blue by 1.2
4988
#41
7.70.5
6.47.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed