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Red58
65587.8
521312.0
715421.2
Blue33
663714.9
57025.0
720215.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383935404550555833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7154
#10
21.21.2
18.719.9
Auto10.9
Teleop9.0
End1.3
red by 6.1
7202
#27
15.10.1
14.614.5
Auto7.5
Teleop6.1
End1.4
Second
5213
#29
12.01.2
10.111.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.3
End2.0
blue by 2.9
6637
#33
14.90.1
13.513.4
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
6558
#31
7.81.2
5.97.1
Auto2.1
Teleop5.2
End0.5
red by 2.8
5702
#39
5.00.1
6.76.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed