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Red46
550118.5
607719.4
63459.9
Blue78
360220.6
778218.1
607913.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5050304060704678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.0
18.818.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 1.2
20.61.4
17.919.3
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End2.7
Second
5501
#16
18.50.0
16.716.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End1.4
red by 0.4
7782
#11
18.11.4
15.617.0
Auto8.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Third
6345
#34
9.90.0
10.510.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End2.2
blue by 3.5
6079
#12
13.41.4
10.812.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned